Gent 1-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
19%
4.58
X/2
10%
8.25
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
22.25
2/2
11%
6.06
2/X
5%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 15% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.57/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
+21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.1 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mechelen
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.06 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
400 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
16.08.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 3-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
15.09.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 2-3 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Mechelen
0.82 xG 0.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
244 Passes 494
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gent vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Mechelen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Gent had 35% of the ball to Mechelen's 65%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.82 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Gent vs Mechelen?

Gent 1-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gent 53%, draw 21%, Mechelen 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
6 Apr 2026
14:30 Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Analysis →
17:00 La Louvière vs Dender EH Analysis →