Mechelen 1-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
34%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.76
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
15%
5.07
X/2
9%
7.3
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
12%
4.89
2/X
9%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.82/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.60
+23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.0 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
376 Passes 425
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 3-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
15.09.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 2-3 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.01.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-1
AWAY Gent
1.22 xG 1.55
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 11
261 Passes 492
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Mechelen vs Gent
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mechelen and Gent shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Belgium - Pro League on 16 Aug 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Mechelen had 37% of the ball to Gent's 63%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 1.22 to 1.55.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mechelen and 2.33 for Gent.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Gent?

Mechelen 1-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 44%, draw 27%, Gent 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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