Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Standard Liege — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
2-4
HT 1-2
Standard Liege
BEL
2-3
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Standard Liege — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise ran out comfortable winners over Standard Liege 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 70% of the ball to Standard Liege's 30%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 3.33 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.17 for Standard Liege.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege?
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 66%, draw 20%, Standard Liege 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.