Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Mar 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise
3-0 HT 1-0
Standard Liege
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
14%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.8
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
6%
15.3
X/X
8%
6.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.1
2/2
12%
13.25
2/X
6%
21.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v Standard Liege — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.06
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.2 Crosses 12.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
368 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
04.08.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
18.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-4 HT 1-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
13.11.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
03.04.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-3 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Standard Liege — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3-0
AWAY Standard Liege
1.72 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
491 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise ran out comfortable winners over Standard Liege 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 62% of the ball to Standard Liege's 38%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.33 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege?

Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 56%, draw 22%, Standard Liege 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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