Cercle Brugge 1-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.04
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
13%
9.72
X/2
16%
4.15
X/X
9%
4.87
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.18
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 58%
+3% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.37/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.13
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
18.8 Crosses 20.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 2.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
138 Passes 398
56% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
18.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.11.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-3
AWAY Club Brugge
0.79 xG 2.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
193 Passes 307
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 31
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge beat Cercle Brugge 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 42% of the ball to Club Brugge's 58%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.79 to 2.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.17 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Cercle Brugge 1-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 33%, draw 22%, Club Brugge 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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