Royal Antwerp 0-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.61
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.79
X/2
12%
7.72
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
9%
5.47
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -12%
1.87/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.81
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.7 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
25.02.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.09.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.01.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
28.08.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
30.01.2022 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-1
AWAY Gent
1.20 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
313 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 36
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 43% of the ball to Gent's 57%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Royal Antwerp 0-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 47%, draw 24%, Gent 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Royal Antwerp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✓ Under 2.5
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