Westerlo 2-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
16%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.7
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
6.46
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.22
2/X
4%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.64/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.25
+43% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.4 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 3-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
14.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.09.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-0
AWAY Anderlecht
2.32 xG 1.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 9
214 Passes 434
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo got the better of Anderlecht 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Westerlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Westerlo had 37% of the ball to Anderlecht's 63%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.32 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 2.00 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Anderlecht?

Westerlo 2-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 34%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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