Mechelen 3-3 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Feb 2025

Mechelen
3-3 HT 1-1
Gent
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Mechelen vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 24% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
20%
5.07
X/2
7%
6.88
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Gent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.66/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.59
+9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.8 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mechelen vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 2-3 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.01.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
16.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL

Mechelen 3-3 Gent — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
3-3
AWAY Gent
2.47 xG 1.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
269 Passes 464
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen and Gent shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mechelen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mechelen had 39% of the ball to Gent's 61%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.47 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mechelen and 2.00 for Gent.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Gent?

Mechelen 3-3 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 45%, draw 28%, Gent 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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