Gent 3-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 30% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
10%
5.08
X/2
9%
7.21
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
9%
22.65
2/2
14%
4.84
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +22%
1.25/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.54
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.6 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.88 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
436 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 3-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
15.09.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 2-3 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.01.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
3-1
AWAY Mechelen
2.78 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent got the better of Mechelen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gent had 46% of the ball to Mechelen's 54%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.78 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Gent vs Mechelen?

Gent 3-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gent 42%, draw 26%, Mechelen 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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