Gomel II 0-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orsha
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Orsha Orsha 1-3 HT 1-2 Gomel II Gomel II BLR1
22.06.2025 Gomel II Gomel II 2-5 HT 2-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel II
0-1
AWAY Orsha
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Gomel II vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha edged past Gomel II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Orsha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gomel II had 60% of the ball to Orsha's 40%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gomel II and 3.00 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Gomel II vs Orsha?

Gomel II 0-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel II vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gomel II 39%, draw 23%, Orsha 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gomel II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
6 Apr 2026
17:00 Orsha vs Gomel II Analysis →
18:00 FC Minsk II vs Slonim Analysis →