Orsha 1-0 Gomel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel II EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.11/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.00
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gomel II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Orsha Orsha 1-3 HT 1-2 Gomel II Gomel II BLR1
22.06.2025 Gomel II Gomel II 2-5 HT 2-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-0
AWAY Gomel II
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Gomel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha squeezed past Gomel II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Orsha made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 40% of the ball to Gomel II's 60%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Orsha and 2.50 for Gomel II.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Gomel II?

Orsha 1-0 Gomel II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Gomel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Orsha 35%, draw 29%, Gomel II 35%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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