HB Koge 2-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

HB Koge
2-0 HT 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.65
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
10%
7.03
X/2
21%
4.99
X/X
7%
5.26
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
16%
2.8
2/X
11%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Aarhus Fremad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.40/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.89
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.7 Crosses 30.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 2.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
238 Passes 428
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.07.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1

HB Koge 2-0 Aarhus Fremad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
2-0
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.80 xG 0.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
280 Passes 431
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge beat Aarhus Fremad 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HB Koge had 42% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 58%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HB Koge had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HB Koge and 1.50 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?

HB Koge 2-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 32%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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