Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

Aarhus Fremad
2-2 HT 1-1
HB Koge
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
9%
8.9
X/X
10%
5.55
2/1
7%
21.8
2/2
12%
6.58
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarhus Fremad v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.39/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.54
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.8 Crosses 14.8
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3.35 xG 0.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
509 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.07.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1

Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2-2
AWAY HB Koge
1.47 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
348 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 56% of the ball to HB Koge's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.47 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 53%, draw 20%, HB Koge 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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