AC Horsens 3-1 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.53
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
10%
8.3
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.74
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.83/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.0 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hillerod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 405
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 2-1 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
25.10.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
26.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
24.05.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
05.04.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.10.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
3-1
AWAY Hillerod
1.68 xG 2.05
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 530
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens saw off Hillerod 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 41% of the ball to Hillerod's 59%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.68 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AC Horsens and 1.83 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Hillerod?

AC Horsens 3-1 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 48%, draw 24%, Hillerod 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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