Hillerod 2-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.06
1/2
9%
21.45
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
10%
8.75
X/2
15%
4.37
X/X
13%
5.53
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.31
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.18/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.67
-36% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +83%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 73%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.6
16.2 Crosses 27.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
2W-1D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
426 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
24.05.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
05.04.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.10.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
29.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-0
AWAY AC Horsens
1.77 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
342 Passes 488
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod got the better of AC Horsens 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hillerod found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hillerod had 43% of the ball to AC Horsens's 57%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.77 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Hillerod and 1.00 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs AC Horsens?

Hillerod 2-0 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 31%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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