HB Koge 0-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 25% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.39
1/2
4%
21.25
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
7%
12.2
X/2
18%
3.63
X/X
14%
6.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.84
2/X
3%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 69%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.09/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.64
-10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
14.1 Crosses 23.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
421 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.10.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
14.09.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
13.03.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
19.09.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-4 HT 2-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
23.06.2020 HB Koge HB Koge 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-1
AWAY Kolding IF
0.69 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
307 Passes 340
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF nicked a narrow win over HB Koge 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HB Koge had 48% of the ball to Kolding IF's 52%, shots finished 3-18, expected goals 0.69 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HB Koge and 1.33 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Kolding IF?

HB Koge 0-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 21%, draw 22%, Kolding IF 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ BTTS No
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