Hillerod 2-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.4
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.18
X/2
12%
5.13
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.40/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.99
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
13.4 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.78 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
412 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
26.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
24.05.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
05.04.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.10.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
29.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-1
AWAY AC Horsens
1.32 xG 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
372 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod edged past AC Horsens 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Hillerod made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hillerod had 49% of the ball to AC Horsens's 51%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.32 to 2.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured AC Horsens.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hillerod and 0.83 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs AC Horsens?

Hillerod 2-1 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 39%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5
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