HB Koge 0-2 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.63
X/2
14%
5.05
X/X
9%
5.37
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
19%
2.95
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +11%
1.40/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.07
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
15.3 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.60 xG 1.91
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 468
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2025 Hvidovre Hvidovre 4-3 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAK
10.11.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.07.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
13.11.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
22.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY Hvidovre
0.79 xG 2.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
235 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre beat HB Koge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HB Koge had 40% of the ball to Hvidovre's 60%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.79 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HB Koge and 1.67 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hvidovre?

HB Koge 0-2 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 31%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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