HB Koge 1-0 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
33%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.79
1/2
7%
20.85
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
7%
10.85
X/2
16%
3.98
X/X
10%
6.11
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.97
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.40/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.69
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
14.2 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.39 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 434
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
13.11.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
22.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.08.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.03.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
1-0
AWAY Hvidovre
1.23 xG 1.37
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 575
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge edged past Hvidovre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hvidovre at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HB Koge had 32% of the ball to Hvidovre's 68%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.23 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for HB Koge and 1.50 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hvidovre?

HB Koge 1-0 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 26%, draw 23%, Hvidovre 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hvidovre), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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