Hvidovre 4-3 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 29 Jul 2025

Hvidovre
4-3 HT 1-0
HB Koge
📅29/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark - DBU Cup – 2025/2026

Hvidovre vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
39%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.09
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
10%
4.45
X/2
12%
9.92
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1
9%
19.95
2/2 EV+ ✗
19%
7.13
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.13 — our 19% vs market 10.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
56%
-17.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
21%
+18.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hvidovre v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 24%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.00
-55% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hvidovre vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
5W-0D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.88 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
458 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.07.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
13.11.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
22.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.08.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre edged past HB Koge 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hvidovre found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hvidovre and 0.33 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs HB Koge?

Hvidovre 4-3 HB Koge in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 39%, draw 22%, HB Koge 39%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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