Lyngby 2-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.18
X/2
12%
6.55
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.51/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.42
-41% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.0 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 3-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
11.04.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 2-2 HT 2-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
10.11.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-2 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
13.09.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
29.05.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
30.04.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
2-1
AWAY Aalborg
1.19 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
334 Passes 499
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby squeezed past Aalborg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyngby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lyngby had 42% of the ball to Aalborg's 58%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lyngby and 1.50 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Aalborg?

Lyngby 2-1 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 42%, draw 25%, Aalborg 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Under 2.5
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