Derby County U21 2-1 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.94/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.10
-40% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sunderland U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
515 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2024 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 6-0 HT 2-0 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
2-1
AWAY Sunderland U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 nicked a narrow win over Sunderland U21 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 44% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 56%, shots finished 14-27.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Derby County U21 2-1 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 33%, draw 21%, Sunderland U21 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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