Sunderland U21 6-0 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Oct 2024

Sunderland U21
6-0 HT 2-0
Derby County U21
📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Sunderland U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.1pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.54/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+8% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.4 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sunderland U21 6-0 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
6-0
AWAY Derby County U21
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 515
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 cruised past Derby County U21 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sunderland U21 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 41% of the ball to Derby County U21's 59%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Derby County U21?

Sunderland U21 6-0 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 53%, draw 24%, Derby County U21 22%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
7 Oct 2024
21:00 Reading U21 vs Norwich City U21 Analysis →