Reading U21 1-2 Norwich City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.46
Over 2.5
58%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+8.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
25%
+16.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
75%
-16.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.6pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Norwich City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Reading U21 Reading U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading U21
1-2
AWAY Norwich City U21
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
275 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Norwich City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City U21 edged past Reading U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norwich City U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Reading U21 had 43% of the ball to Norwich City U21's 57%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Reading U21 1-2 Norwich City U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norwich City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 37%, draw 20%, Norwich City U21 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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