TransMara Sugar 1-0 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.28/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
+14% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
19.02.2025 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
23.10.2024 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransMara Sugar
1-0
AWAY Posta Rangers
48% Ball Possession 52%
26 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar nicked a narrow win over Posta Rangers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had TransMara Sugar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TransMara Sugar had 48% of the ball to Posta Rangers's 52%, shots finished 26-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for TransMara Sugar and 1.00 for Posta Rangers.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?

TransMara Sugar 1-0 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 46%, draw 28%, Posta Rangers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransMara Sugar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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