Alajuelense vs Guadalupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Guadalupe — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Guadalupe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Alajuelense
KOSTA
4-0
HT 3-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
Alajuelense 1-1 Guadalupe — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense and Guadalupe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Alajuelense carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Alajuelense had 49% of the ball to Guadalupe's 51%, shots finished 16-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Guadalupe.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Guadalupe?
Alajuelense 1-1 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Guadalupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 71%, draw 18%, Guadalupe 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.