Abia Warriors 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.44/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.15
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
16.11.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 1-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
25.01.2025 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 1-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
28.12.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 0-1 HT 0-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
03.12.2023 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-2 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abia Warriors
1-0
AWAY Bayelsa United
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors edged past Bayelsa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Abia Warriors had 52% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 48%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Abia Warriors and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Abia Warriors 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 68%, draw 23%, Bayelsa United 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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