Abia Warriors 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.33
No
71%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.6pp
29%
BTTS Yes
39%
-9.4pp
71%
BTTS No
61%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.53/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.85
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
28.12.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 0-1 HT 0-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
03.12.2023 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-2 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors nicked a narrow win over Bayelsa United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Abia Warriors and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Abia Warriors 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 51%, draw 34%, Bayelsa United 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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