Sunshine Stars 4-3 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.56
Over 2.5
31%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.19
No
70%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.5pp
38%
Draw
28%
+10.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
60%
+9.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
40%
-9.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
42%
-11.9pp
70%
BTTS No
58%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ikorodu City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.12.2024 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunshine Stars
4-3
AWAY Ikorodu City
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars edged past Ikorodu City 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (43% / 38% / 18%) promised a tight game; Sunshine Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sunshine Stars had 45% of the ball to Ikorodu City's 55%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Ikorodu City?

Sunshine Stars 4-3 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 43%, draw 38%, Ikorodu City 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunshine Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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