Nasarawa United 1-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Jan 2025

Nasarawa United
1-0 HT 1-0
Katsina United
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Nasarawa United vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.7pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nasarawa United v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.53/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.37
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nasarawa United vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Katsina United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 1-0 HT 0-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
23.01.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
06.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 2-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
17.01.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ

Nasarawa United 1-0 Katsina United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-0
AWAY Katsina United
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United edged past Katsina United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 55% of the ball to Katsina United's 45%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nasarawa United and 0.75 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Katsina United?

Nasarawa United 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 52%, draw 26%, Katsina United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
25 Jan 2025
17:00 Enugu Rangers vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →
18:00 Sunshine Stars vs Ikorodu City Analysis →
18:15 Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United Analysis →