Katsina United 1-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.88/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.39
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nasarawa United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.01.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
06.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 2-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
17.01.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United edged past Nasarawa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Katsina United and 1.00 for Nasarawa United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Katsina United 1-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 57%, draw 25%, Nasarawa United 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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