Lobi Stars 0-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.95
No
54%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
78%
-8.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.1pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
30%
+15.9pp
54%
BTTS No
70%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.84/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.76
-1% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Heartland
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.02.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
17.02.2022 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
15.02.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
0-0
AWAY Heartland
71% Ball Possession 29%
27 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars and Heartland fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lobi Stars at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 71% of the ball to Heartland's 29%, shots finished 27-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Heartland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.00 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Heartland?

Lobi Stars 0-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 69%, draw 19%, Heartland 12%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lobi Stars), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
29 Dec 2024
17:00 Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Katsina United vs Nasarawa United Analysis →
18:00 Ikorodu City vs Sunshine Stars Analysis →
19:30 Shooting Stars vs Kwara United Analysis →
19:30 Remo Stars vs Akwa United Analysis →