Shooting Stars 1-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Dec 2024

Shooting Stars
1-0 HT 1-0
Kwara United
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Shooting Stars vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.81
No
63%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.6pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shooting Stars v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.82/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.55
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Shooting Stars vs Kwara United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kwara United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
12.11.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
26.01.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars nicked a narrow win over Kwara United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.67 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Kwara United?

Shooting Stars 1-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 46%, draw 33%, Kwara United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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