Shooting Stars 2-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.62/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.44
+1% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kwara United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
26.01.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars got the better of Kwara United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.00 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Kwara United?

Shooting Stars 2-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 61%, draw 28%, Kwara United 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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