Akwa United 0-1 Doma United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Apr 2024

Akwa United
0-1 HT 0-1
Doma United
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Akwa United vs Doma United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.32
Draw
14%
4.34
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.6
Over 2.5
53%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.06
No
55%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+3.5pp
14%
Draw
20%
-6.2pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
28%
+16.7pp
55%
BTTS No
72%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akwa United v Doma United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Doma United EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.56/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.08
-9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Doma United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doma United nicked a narrow win over Akwa United 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Akwa United at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Doma United?

Akwa United 0-1 Doma United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Doma United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 75%, draw 14%, Doma United 11%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Akwa United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akwa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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