Sporting Lagos 1-1 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Lagos EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.92
+35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Lagos
1-1
AWAY Lobi Stars
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Lagos vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Lagos and Lobi Stars shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Lagos at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Lagos had 58% of the ball to Lobi Stars's 42%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Sporting Lagos vs Lobi Stars?

Sporting Lagos 1-1 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Lagos vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Lagos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting Lagos 53%, draw 22%, Lobi Stars 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Lagos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Lagos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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