Ikorodu City 2-1 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
2.19/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.43
+53% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City edged past Sunshine Stars 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Sunshine Stars?

Ikorodu City 2-1 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 58%, draw 25%, Sunshine Stars 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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