Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-4 Maccabi Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.79
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
55%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.26
6+ Goals
5%
20.9
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.78 — our 55% vs market 49.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.5pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.19/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.00
-30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.2 Crosses 11.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
264 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
02.12.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 3-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
0-4
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.30 xG 1.59
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
158 Passes 428
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva ran out comfortable winners over Hapoel Eran Hadera 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Maccabi Petah Tikva made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 31% of the ball to Maccabi Petah Tikva's 69%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.30 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Eran Hadera and 0.50 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-4 Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Eran Hadera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 38%, draw 33%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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