Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 6 May 2024

Bnei Sakhnin
1-1 HT 0-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.15
Over 2.5
36%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
1.96
No
67%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.23
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
3.04
6+ Goals
7%
9.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 30% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.5pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
43%
+20.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
57%
-20.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
47%
-14.4pp
67%
BTTS No
53%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bnei Sakhnin v Maccabi Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 75%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.75/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.80
-21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -10%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
8.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
13.3 Crosses 17.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.73 xG 2.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
195 Passes 441
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 HT 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
10.02.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
10.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 2-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
20.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-5 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSRTK

Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
1-1
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.27 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 238
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bnei Sakhnin and Maccabi Tel Aviv shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Maccabi Tel Aviv carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Bnei Sakhnin had 54% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.27 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bnei Sakhnin and 2.75 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bnei Sakhnin 15%, draw 29%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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