Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.46
2-3 Goals
47%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 24% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
2.35/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.76
+13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +101%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.6 Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.49 xG 0.95
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
467 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
46 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
10.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 2-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
20.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-5 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-0
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
3.16 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
389 Passes 214
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
47 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv beat Bnei Sakhnin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 61% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 39%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 3.16 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.33 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 60%, draw 24%, Bnei Sakhnin 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Over 2.5
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