Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-1 Ashdod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
6%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashdod EU Bookmakers 33%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.87/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.80
+59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
7.3 Crosses 16.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ashdod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 2.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
290 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 HT 1-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
23.09.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
01.08.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 1-1 HT 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0-1
AWAY Ashdod
0.70 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
255 Passes 246
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ashdod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashdod squeezed past Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Ashdod made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 52% of the ball to Ashdod's 48%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashdod led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 1.33 for Ashdod.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ashdod?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-1 Ashdod in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ashdod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 40%, draw 30%, Ashdod 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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