Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.85/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.90
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.4 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.93 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
26.12.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
0.92 xG 1.79
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
192 Passes 500
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Haifa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 31% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 69%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.92 to 1.79 — on chances, Hapoel Haifa could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0.50 for Hapoel Haifa.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 44%, draw 30%, Hapoel Haifa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✗ Under 2.5
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