Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
7%
21.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 36% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
-62% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.0 Crosses 25.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.77 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
295 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 HT 0-1 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
16.12.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1-1
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.79 xG 2.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
353 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera and Hapoel Petah Tikva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Eran Hadera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 60% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 40%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.79 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Eran Hadera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Eran Hadera and 0.00 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Eran Hadera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 42%, draw 27%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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