Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 17 Feb 2024

Hapoel Petah Tikva
0-2 HT 0-1
Hapoel Eran Hadera
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hapoel Petah Tikva v Hapoel Eran Hadera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +83%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
– Crosses 16.6
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
221 Passes 395
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR

Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0-2
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
1.30 xG 1.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 195
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera saw off Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Petah Tikva at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 60% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 40%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 47%, draw 26%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Petah Tikva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Petah Tikva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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