Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 39%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.72/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.59
-100% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
30.0 Crosses 15.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
285 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 0
16.12.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
2-1
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.38 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
409 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bnei Sakhnin edged past Beitar Jerusalem 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bnei Sakhnin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bnei Sakhnin had 58% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beitar Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bnei Sakhnin 33%, draw 28%, Beitar Jerusalem 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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