Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.95
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
17%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
2.34/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.73
-13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / +119%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
36.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.6 Crosses 10.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.14 xG 1.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
464 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 2-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
20.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-5 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-1
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
1.83 xG 0.78
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
470 Passes 116
85% Pass Accuracy 58%
51 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Maccabi Tel Aviv carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 74% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 26%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.83 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.50 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 57%, draw 24%, Bnei Sakhnin 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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