Ashdod 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.61
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.4
6+ Goals
11%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashdod EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.11/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.10
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.8 Crosses 24.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashdod
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
387 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
12.08.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-1 HT 0-1 Ashdod Ashdod İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashdod
2-0
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.57 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
271 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashdod saw off Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ashdod as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ashdod had 48% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.57 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ashdod had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ashdod and 0.50 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Ashdod 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashdod win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 47%, draw 27%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashdod), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashdod) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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