Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.08
6+ Goals
5%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.2pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.01/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.62
-29% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +126%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
11.4 Crosses 16.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.95 xG 2.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
337 Passes 453
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.12.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 3-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
1-0
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
178 Passes 232
60% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Bnei Raina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 46% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Bnei Raina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 30%, draw 29%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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