Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.74
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.23
6+ Goals
7%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 32%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.97/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.46
+93% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +122%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
4.6 Crosses 19.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.31 xG 2.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
456 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.12.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 3-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
0.60 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
247 Passes 260
63% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Petah Tikva as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 49% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 51%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.60 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 50%, draw 24%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ BTTS Yes
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