Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
251 Passes 462
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 28
3 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.39 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
406 Passes 303
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Haifa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Haifa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 56% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 44%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.39 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 28%, draw 29%, Maccabi Haifa 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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